Thursday’s VIPIR Forecast: Tracking a coastal low

Posted at 5:06 AM, May 07, 2015
and last updated 2015-05-07 07:56:13-04

Tracking a coastal low… We continue to track an area of low pressure off the SC coast that will likely become our first tropical system of the season. Expect a mix of sun and clouds for most areas today with a few showers for the southern Outer Banks.

It will be a bit cooler today with highs in the mid 70s. As the low drifts closer to the NC/SC border for Friday and Saturday we will see more clouds and scattered showers/storms. We can expect increased winds to near 20 mph, rougher surf and the potential for very minor coastal flooding. The leftovers of this system will linger across the Mid-Atlantic for several days, keeping scattered showers/storms in the forecast.

Today: Partly Cloudy, Cooler. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: E 5-10

Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Isolated Showers(20%). Lows near 60. Winds: E 5-10

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms(30%), Breezy. Highs in the upper 70s. Winds: E 10-15

Tropical Update

We continue to track a low pressure system located about 230 miles south-southeast of the South Carolina-North Carolina border. It has moved little during the past several hours. Since yesterday, the low has become better defined with increasing organization. Environmental conditions are gradually becoming more conducive for development and an increase in the organization of the thunderstorms could result in the formation of a subtropical cyclone later today or Friday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low later this morning. The low is expected to drift generally northward over the next couple of days. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 2 PM EDT.

Formation chance through 48 hours: High (70%)

Formation chance through 5 days: High (70%)

Weather & Health

Pollen: Moderate-High (Oak, Birch, Sweet Gum)

UV Index: 8 (Very High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Moderate

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

May 7th

1959 Tornado Hanover Co

1967 F1 Tornado: Accomack Co

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