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Patrick’s forecast: Tracking evening t-storms

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Posted at 2:46 PM, Jun 30, 2015
and last updated 2015-06-30 14:46:35-04

Patrick Rockey’s Live VIPIR Forecast

A pretty fitting end to June. It’s been a hot, muggy and stormy month. And we can expect more of the same tonight.

A trough of low pressure (think of it as a mini cold front) will approach the region this evening. It should provide enough spark to fire up scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of these could be strong to severe. Our biggest concern is with damaging winds. But hail, localized flooding and an isolated tornado are also a concern. Any storms that do develop should move out by midnight to 1 AM.

That will lay the groundwork for a steamy, but dry, start to July. Expect a mix of clouds and sunshine, highs in the lower 90s and just a 20% chance for storms.

Enjoy the dry weather while it lasts. On Thursday, a cold front will move into the area and stall out. This will become the focus for showers and storms on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. We could pick up several more inches of rain. On a positive note, this will help hold our temperatures down. We’re now expecting high on Saturday only in the mid 80s.

Weather & Health for Wednesday
Pollen: Low-Medium (Grasses)
UV Index: Very High
Air Quality: Good
Mosquitoes: Very High

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)
1994 Severe Thunderstorm: Amelia Co, Chesterfield Co, Nottoway Co, Lunenburg Co – Hail 0.75″-1.75″
2012 Tornado Mechanicsville (EF-0). Widespread Wind Damage & Hail Richmond southeast to Norfolk.

Patrick Rockey
NewsChannel 3 Chief Meteorologist

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