Patrick’s First Warning Forecast: Tracking the threat for severe weather

Posted at 3:24 PM, Feb 22, 2016
and last updated 2016-02-22 15:24:51-05

Chief Meteorologist Patrick Rockey’s First Warning Forecast

Soggy on Tuesday, stormy on Wednesday.

We are tracking a complicated storm system that will bring us unsettled weather through most of the work week.

A stationary front lingering to our south will bring us a chance for scattered showers on Tuesday. It looks like the bulk of the rain will come early in the day. So be prepared for downpours during the Tuesday morning commute. The rain becomes much more widely scattered through the rest of the morning and into the afternoon. A few showers are possible, but much of the afternoon will be dry. Expect high temperatures on Tuesday in the low-to-mid 50s.

It looks like Wednesday will be a mirror image of Tuesday. Some showers are possible early in the day, but it looks like the bulk of the wet weather, including thunderstorms, will arrive in the late afternoon and evening hours.

Some of the storms could be severe, with damaging winds and localized flooding the biggest threat. An isolated tornado is not out of the question as a powerful cold front moves through. Ahead of that front a gusty south wind will push temperatures into the 60s.

A few of the storms may linger into the early morning hours on Thursday. But most of the day will be dry and cooler, with high temperatures in the mid 50s.

And then we can expect much calmer and cooler weather for Friday and into the weekend, with high temperatures in the 40s and 50s and lots of sunshine.

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)
2003 F0 Tornado: Suffolk
2003 Severe Weather Outbreak: East Central, Southeast VA – Wind Damage reported
2008 Freezing rain light snow south central VA and lower MD

Patrick Rockey
NewsChannel 3 Chief Meteorologist

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