First Warning Forecast: Tracking the tropics and the impact on your holiday weekend

Posted at 2:46 PM, May 27, 2016
and last updated 2016-05-27 15:02:14-04

Tracking the tropics and the impact on your holiday weekend….We’re tracking scattered showers and storms for part of the Memorial Day Weekend, courtesy of what’s moving in from the tropics.

All eyes are on an area of low pressure churning near the Bahamas. This system is forecast to strengthen a bit as it moves northwest toward the southeast coast of the U.S. The low is expected to move inland near South Carolina by Sunday, spreading showers and thunderstorms across the Mid-Atlantic and the Southeast. Please keep in mind that if this system becomes a tropical storm or not, it will not change our forecast this weekend.  We’ll still see scattered rain and storms. So, let’s talk about it.

On Saturday, a lot of us will see partly cloudy skies. High temperatures will warm into the lower 80s. Clouds will build by the evening, and some areas across Northeastern North Carolina could even see a few isolated showers.  While we won’t see a complete washout, scattered showers and storms are expected on both Sunday and Monday. We could see some heavy downpours at times, but again, we won’t see rain from start to finish each day. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies.  High temperatures will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s.  Some rain will likely linger into Tuesday.  Have a great weekend!

Friday Night: Mostly Clear. Mild and muggy. Low temperatures in the mid 60s. Winds: S 5-10 mph.

Saturday: Partly Cloudy. Isolated Showers (20%). High temperatures in the low 80s. Winds: S/SE 5-15 mph.

Sunday: Mostly Cloudy. Scattered Showers and Storms (60%). High temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Winds: E 5-15 mph.

Weather & Health for Saturday

Pollen: Moderate (Oak, Grasses, Hickory)

UV Index: 9 (Very High)

Air Quality: Moderate (Code Yellow)

Mosquitoes: High to Very High

Tropical Update

We continue to track an area of low pressure located about 450 miles southeast of Charleston, South Carolina. It has become better organized since yesterday and the circulation has become better defined. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical or subtropical cyclone to form today or Saturday while this system moves northwestward toward the southeastern United States coast. Look for more updates as they come into the weather center.

Formation chance through 48 hours: High (90%)

Formation chance through 5 days: High (90%)

Friday in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

1957 F1 Tornado: Lunenburg Co, Tornado Norfolk

Dominic Brown
First Warning Meteorologist
WTKR-TV News 3
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