Friday’s First Warning Forecast: Rain and storm chances this weekend

Posted at 5:00 AM, Aug 19, 2016
and last updated 2016-08-19 09:08:36-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Weekend storm chances… A stationary front will linger over the Mid-Atlantic for the next few days, keeping rain and storm chances in the forecast. Expect some sun this morning with clouds increasing this afternoon. Scattered showers and storms will fire up this afternoon and continue into tonight. Our severe threat is low but heavy downpours and lightning are possible. Highs today will reach just above average into the upper 80s.

The front will stay over the Carolinas on Saturday, keeping us under a mix of sun and clouds with scattered showers and storms. Highs Saturday will fall slightly into the mid 80s. A cold front will build in for Sunday, increasing rain and storm chances for Sunday afternoon and night. Highs will climb to near 90 before the front moves in.

Showers should clear out Monday morning with sunshine returning Monday afternoon. Even cooler temperatures will move in next week with highs in the low to mid 80s.

Today: Partly Sunny, Scattered Showers/Storms(40%). Highs in the upper 80s. Winds: NW/NE 5-10

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms(40%). Lows in the mid 70s. Winds: S/W 5-10

Tomorrow: Partly Sunny, Scattered Showers/Storms(30%). Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: N/E 5-10

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Moderate-High (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: 9 (Very High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Tropical Update

Tropical Storm Fiona continues moving northwest over the open central Atlantic. Fiona is located about 1240 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands and is moving WNW at 10 mph. The general NW motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible early today, followed by weakening into the weekend.

5:00 AM AST Fri Aug 19

Location: 17.6°N 42.7°W

Moving: WNW at 10 mph

Min pressure: 1006 mb

Max sustained: 45 mph

We are also watching a tropical wave located about 350 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves westward at about 15 mph across the tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (50%)

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

August 19th

1939 Tornado: Westmoreland Co

2007 Thunderstorm Wind Damage Colonial Heights, Mechanicsville, Richmond, Charles City & Chesterfield

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