Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast
Tracking a front and TS Hermine… A cold front to our west will build through today, triggering scattered showers and storms. Expect a mix of sun and clouds through the day with a few showers this morning but rain and storm chances will increase this afternoon and linger into the evening. It will be warm and muggy again today with highs in the upper 80s.
Tropical Storm Hermine will impact northern Florida today and tomorrow then will move up the East Coast Friday to Saturday. We will see a mix of sun and clouds Friday with isolated showers possible during the day. Rain from Hermine will start to spread in late Friday night. Winds will being to pick up tomorrow, expect NE winds at 10-15 mph. We will see widespread rainfall on Saturday with bands of heavy rain at times. Some locations could see over 6” of rainfall. Winds will crank up on Saturday and gusts to 40+ mph are possible. Isolated tornadoes are also possible as Hermine moves up the coast. Expect rough surf, a high risk for rip currents, and the potential for coastal flooding through the weekend as Hermine moves off of the coast.
Rain should move out late Saturday or early Sunday. It will still be windy Sunday, but winds should relax on Monday. It will be cooler with highs in the upper 90s and low 80s Friday, through the weekend and Monday.
Today: Partly Sunny, Scattered Showers/Storms (40%). Highs in the upper 80s. Winds: SW/N 5-10
Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (40%). Lows in the low 70s. Winds: N 5-10
Tomorrow: Sun & Clouds, Scattered Showers/Storms (30%). Highs in the upper 70s. Winds: N 10-15+
Weather & Health
Pollen: Moderate-High (Ragweed, Grasses)
UV Index: 8 (Very High)
Air Quality: Moderate (Code Yellow)
Tropical Storm Hermine is moving toward the north Florida Gulf coast. Hermine is centered about 170 miles SSW of Apalachicola, Florida and 220 miles west of Tampa, Florida. Hermine is moving NNE at 14 mph. This motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will be near the Florida coast tonight or early Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is anticipated, and Hermine is expected to be a hurricane by the time landfall occurs. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles from the center.
Hurricane Gaston is quickly moving toward the Azores. Gaston is 650 miles west of the central Azores and moving ENE at 24 mph. This general motion is expected to continue during the next day or two. On the forecast track, Gaston will be near the western Azores on Friday and just north of the central Azores by Friday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Gaston is expected to become a tropical storm by early Friday before it reaches the western Azores. Gaston is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone on Saturday.
Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)
1993 F1 Tornado: Bertie Co
1995 Severe Thunderstorms: Nottoway Co, Mecklenberg Co – Hail 0.75″-2.25″
2006 Tropical Storm Ernesto brings 8-12 inches of rain across south central & southeast VA, northeast NC and portions of eastern MD.
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