Monday’s First Warning Forecast: Rain to start the week

Posted at 5:09 AM, Sep 19, 2016

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

A soggy start to the week… A cold front is building in from the west today, while the remnants of Julia move closer to the NC/SC coast. Expect mostly cloudy skies today with scattered showers and storms. Rain chances will increase for this afternoon and evening. Our threat for severe weather is low but heavy downpours are possible. Highs today will reach the low 80s.

Clouds, rain and storm chances will continue on Tuesday as the front and remnant low linger along the coast. Rain chances will be slightly lower tomorrow but heavy downpours are still possible. Highs tomorrow will slip into the upper 70s, near normal for this time of year.

Rain chances drop and more sunshine will gradually mix in for the second half of the week. Highs will warm into the low and mid 80s.

Today: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (70%). Highs in the low 80s. Winds: S/E 5-15

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (60%). Lows in the low 70s. Winds: E 5-10

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (60%). Highs in the upper 70s. Winds: NE 5-15

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low (Ragweed)

UV Index: 5 (Moderate)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Tropical Update

Julia is now a remnant low off the coast of North and South Carolina. A slow movement north is expected over the next few days. The system is expected to be near the coast of southeastern North Carolina this afternoon or evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.

Tropical Storm Karl is centered about 930 miles east of the Leeward Islands and moving west at 15 mph. A turn toward the WNW at a similar forward speed is expected later today or on Tuesday. The long range track moves Karl between the East Coast and Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles to the north of the center.

We are watching a broad area of low pressure located near and south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some development over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week before large-scale conditions become less favorable.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (50%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: High (80%)

Hurricane Tracker


Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

September 19th

1945 Flooding: River Crest Farmville 20.9′

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