Monday’s First Warning Forecast: Nice today but tracking Hurricane Matthew

Posted at 5:43 AM, Oct 03, 2016
and last updated 2016-10-03 11:02:34-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Tracking Matthew moving north… Hurricane Matthew is still in the Caribbean Sea but is moving north toward Jamaica, Haiti, and eastern Cuba. Matthew will continue moving generally north over the Bahamas and east of Florida through midweek. Matthew will be closest to us on Saturday. The exact track of Matthew will determine exactly what we will see but expect impacts from Matthew to end the work week and for the weekend.

Expect a nice mix of sun and clouds today with an isolated showers possible. Rain will generally be light and very hit or miss. Highs today will reach the mid 70s, slightly above normal.

We will see a mix of sun and clouds with isolated showers possible through much of the work week. Highs will stay in the low to mid 70s. Winds will ramp up for midweek. Strong NE winds with gusts to near 30 mph are possible. The persistent NE winds will bring us tidal flooding for most of the week. “Nuisance” level flooding is expected near midday high tide today.

Today: Partly Sunny, Isolated showers (20%). Highs in the mid 70. Winds: N/NE 5-10

Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Stray Shower (10%). Lows in the mid 60s. Winds: NE 5-10

Tomorrow: Partly Cloudy, Isolated Showers (20%), Breezy. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: NE 5-15G25

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Sagebrush)

UV Index: 6 (High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Very High

Tropical Update

Hurricane Matthew is moving toward Haiti. Matthew is centered about 205 miles SE of Kingston, Jamaica and 275 miles SW of Port-au-Prince, Haiti and is moving north at 6 mph. This general motion is forecast to continue through Wednesday with an increase in forward speed expected tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will approach southwestern Haiti tonight, move near eastern Cuba late Tuesday, and move near or over portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph with higher gusts. Matthew is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles.

11:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 3

Location: 15.6°N 75.0°W

Moving: N at 6 mph

Min pressure: 941 mb

Max sustained: 140 mph

Hurricane Tracker


Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

October 3rd

1953 F1 Tornado: Louisa Co, F0 Tornado: Cumberland Co

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