Sunday’s First Warning Forecast: Matthew moving out but flood threat continues

Posted at 5:16 AM, Oct 09, 2016
and last updated 2016-10-09 11:25:03-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

***High Wind Warning for most of NE NC and parts of coastal Hampton Roads until 6 PM***

***Flash Flood Warning for Dare County until 12:15 PM***

***Flash Flood Watch for most of the area until 2 PM***

***Flood Warning for most of the area until 2 PM***

Major flooding from Hurricane Matthew… Matthew continues moving away from the NC coast but the impacts will be felt for the next several days. The majority of the rain has moved out and sunshine will start to return this afternoon with highs in the mid to upper 60s. It will still be very windy with gusts reaching 45 to 55+ mph, closer to 70 mph gusts for the Outer Banks.

We will be seeing the flooding trifecta. Expect widespread flooding due to excessive rainfall, moderate to major river flooding due to the runoff from all of that rain, and moderate tidal flooding due to strong winds from the north. Our next high tide at Sewell’s Point is at 3:45 PM.

We should see plenty of sunshine on Monday but it will still be windy as the remnants of Matthew move farther off of the Carolina coast. Expect north winds at 15 to 25 mph and gust to near 35, with stronger winds on the Outer Banks. We will continue to see tidal flooding near times of high tide, at minor levels, as well as moderate to major river flooding.


Today: AM Rain, PM Clearing, Windy. Highs in the mid to upper 60s. Winds: N 25-35G55+

Tonight: Mainly Clear, Windy. Lows in the mid 50s. Winds: N 20-30G40

Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny, Windy. Highs in the mid 60s. Winds: N 15-25G35

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: 1 (Low)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Very High

Tropical Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone Mathew continues moving away from NC coast. Strong winds and sound-side flooding continue on the Outer Banks. Matthew is centered about 100 miles east of Cape Hatteras and moving east at 15 mph. This general motion is expected to continue during the next day or so.  On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will move farther offshore of the coast of the North Carolina Outer Banks today and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next day or so, and the low is expected to be absorbed within a frontal boundary Monday night.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles, mainly to the southwest of the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles.

11:00 AM EDT Sun Oct 9

Location: 35.2°N 73.7°W

Moving: E at 15 mph

Min pressure: 984 mb

Max sustained: 75 mph

Nicole is still lingering south of Bermuda. Nicole is nearly stationary about 575 miles south of Bermuda. A slow generally northward motion is expected to begin later today and continue through Tuesday. Nicole will near Bermuda by midweek. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is possible over the next couple of days.

Hurricane Tracker


Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

October 9th

1959 F1 Tornado: Suffolk

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