First Warning Forecast: Tracking warmer weather, then we’re cooling down

Posted at 3:26 PM, Oct 17, 2016

Tracking warmer weather, then we’re cooling down….The calendar might say it’s fall, but it doesn’t feel like it. We’re tracking temperatures in the 80s, but it won’t last long.
First, as we move through our Monday night, expect mostly clear skies. Areas of patchy fog are possible late tonight into early tomorrow morning. Low temperatures will be in the mid 60s.

High pressure will build over the area over the next couple of days, giving way to plenty of sunshine and warming temperatures. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will climb into the low and mid 80s. Winds may be a bit breezy from the southwest between 5 and 15 mph.

A cold front approaches late in the week, increasing our rain chances Friday and Saturday. Highs will cool into the low 70s on Friday and into the 60s by the weekend.

We’re also keeping an eye on some disturbed weather near the Bahamas. Some forecast models push this tropical wave northward through the week, keeping most of the effects offshore. However, we’ll have to watch it closely.  Based on some forecast models, some coastal areas in NC could see some rain. High surf and rip currents will be a concern for all of the viewing area though. We’ll have updates through the week.


Tonight: Mostly Clear and Mild. Low temperatures in the mid 60s. Winds: S 5-10 mph.

Tomorrow: Patchy AM Fog. Mostly Sunny and Warm. High temperatures in the low and mid 80s. Winds: SW 5-15 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny and Warm. High temperatures in the low and mid 80s. Winds: SW 5-10 mph.

Weather & Health for Tuesday

Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: 5 (Moderate)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: High

Tropical Update


11:00 PM AST Mon Oct 17
Location: 44.8°N 41.0°W
Moving: NE at 25 mph
Min pressure: 968 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph

Tropical Storm Nicole weakens tonight as it moves into the northern Atlantic. Nicole is centered about 595 miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland and moving NE at 25 mph. The storm will take a turn toward north at a faster rate of forward speed during the next two days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. However, Nicole should lose its tropical characteristics Tuesday.

Tropical Wave:

A broad area of low pressure located near the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms over the western Atlantic between the Bahamas and Bermuda.  Upper-level winds are currently unfavorable for significant development, but could become more conducive for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation on Wednesday or Thursday when the system begins to drift northward or north-northwestward.

Formation chance through 48 hours: 30 percent

Formation chance through 5 days: 60 percent

Hurricane Tracker


Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

1999 F2 Tornado: Pasquotank Co

1999 Flash Flooding: Southeast Virginia

Dominic Brown
First Warning Meteorologist
WTKR-TV News 3
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