Friday’s First Warning Forecast: Finally a fall-like weekend

Posted at 5:26 AM, Sep 29, 2017
and last updated 2017-09-29 11:17:08-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Finally feeling like Fall… Highs will only reach the mid 70s this afternoon, near normal for this time of year but about 10 degrees cooler than yesterday. We will see another solid dose of sunshine today with just a few clouds blending in. We will still have a bit of a breeze today from the north and northeast. Temperatures will drop into the upper 50s overnight. A few bonus clouds will mix in tonight for North Carolina but rain chance remain slim.

Even cooler air moves in this weekend. Expect highs in the low 70s and lows in the upper 50s both Saturday and Sunday. Sunny skies will continue for the weekend with a few clouds in the mix. It will still be a bit breezy with N/NE winds at 5 to 15 mph. Highs will slowly climb into the mid and upper 70s next week.

Today: A Few Clouds, Cooler. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: N/NE 5-15

Tonight: Partly Cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Winds: E/S 5-10

Tomorrow: A Few Clouds, Breezy. Highs in the low 70s. Winds: N 5-15

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low-Moderate (Ragweed, Sagebrush)

UV Index: 6 (High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Very High

Tropical Update

Maria is racing across the north Atlantic. Maria is centered about 525 miles SSE of Halifax, Nova Scotia and moving ENE at 31 mph. This motion is expected to continue during the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Maria is expected to acquire extratropical characteristics late Saturday.

11:00 AM AST Fri Sep 29

Location: 37.5°N 60.1°W

Moving: ENE at 31 mph

Min pressure: 988 mb

Max sustained: 60 mph

Lee weakens to a tropical storm. Lee is centered about 1005 miles NE of Bermuda and moving NE at 31 mph. Lee is forecast to continue accelerating toward the northeast today and tomorrow. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast for the next 24 hours, and Lee is expected to dissipate on Saturday.

11:00 AM AST Fri Sep 29

Location: 40.1°N 49.5°W

Moving: NE at 31 mph

Min pressure: 992 mb

Max sustained: 70 mph

We are tracking an area of large but disorganized clouds and showers from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across western Cuba to southern Florida. A weak low is now likely to form from this system near the west coast of Florida during the weekend. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some development of the low before the upper-level winds become less favorable early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (40%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (40%)

We are tracking a tropical wave over the northeastern Caribbean Sea and the adjacent Atlantic waters. Although there are no signs of organization, conditions could become a little more favorable for some development next week while the system moves toward the WNW.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (0%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (20%)

Hurricane Tracker

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

September 29th

1999 Severe Thunderstorms Wind Damage Fluvanna Co, Louisa Co

2010 Heavy Rain Event Begins Over SE VA and Last Until Oct 1

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