Monday’s First Warning Forecast: Warming up and tracking storms

Posted at 5:05 AM, May 14, 2018
and last updated 2018-05-14 10:12:04-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Warmer today, storms tonight… Expect a nice mix of sun and clouds today with highs reaching the mid to upper 80s, about 10 degrees above normal. Temperatures will trend cooler near the coast (upper 70s to lower 80s) and warmer inland (low 90s). An isolated “pop-up” shower or storm is possible this afternoon but most of the day will be dry.

Our chances for showers and storms will increase tonight. Expect a pocket of showers and storms to move in from NW to SE late this evening. Strong to severe storms are possible. Our biggest threats will be gusty winds, heavy rain, and hail.

We will see partly sunny skies on Tuesday with highs returning to the upper 80s. An isolated shower is possible but tomorrow will have our lowest rain chances of the week. Winds will pick up tomorrow, SW at 10 to 20 and gusts to 25 mph.

A stationary front is going to linger to our north for most of the week. The front is going to provide a runway for several areas of low pressure to move along. That means several opportunities for showers and storms. Expect mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers/storms and highs in the low 80s for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday.

Today: Partly Cloudy. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Winds: SW/N/E 5-10

Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (40%). Lows near 70. Winds: S/SW 5-10

Tomorrow: Partly Sunny, Windy. Highs in the upper 80s. Winds: SW 10-20G25

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Moderate (Oak, Grasses, Mulberry)

UV Index: 9 (Very High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Low

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

May 14th

2006 Severe Thunderstorm: Bertie Co – Hail 1.00″-1.25″


Tropical Update

We are watching a large area of cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms extending from western Cuba across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico to much of the Florida Peninsula. This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves slowly northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (30%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (40%)

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