Tuesday’s First Warning Forecast: Nice today, rain and storms to end the week

Posted at 5:49 AM, May 15, 2018
and last updated 2018-05-15 09:13:46-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Warmer today but a soggy end to the week… Highs will warm into the upper 80s today, almost 15 degrees above normal. We will see a nice mix of sun and clouds with slim rain chances. Winds will pick up today, southwest at 10 to 20 with gusts to 25+ mph.

Clouds will build in tonight as a stationary front to our north starts to slide south. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies. An isolated shower is possible but most areas will just see the extra clouds. Lows will return to near 70 and winds will begin to relax.

A stationary front is going to linger to our north and west for several days. The front is going to provide a runway for several areas of low pressure to move along. At the same time, an area of low pressure near the Gulf Coast of Florida with bring more moisture to the southeast. That means several opportunities for showers and storms. Expect mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers/storms and highs in the low 80s for Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. Scattered showers and storms will continue into the weekend.

Today: Partly Cloudy, Windy. Highs in the upper 80s. Winds: SW 10-20G25

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy. Lows near 70. Winds: SW 5-15

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy, Showers/Storms (70%). Highs in the low 80s. Winds: SW 5-15

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Moderate-High (Grasses, Oak, Mulberry)

UV Index: 9 (Very High)

Air Quality: Moderate (Code Yellow)

Mosquitoes: Low

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

May 15th

2005 Severe Thunderstorms: East Central VA, Southeast VA – Hail 0.75″-2.00″


Tropical Update

A broad non-tropical area of low pressure located over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico is producing widespread cloudiness, showers, and thunderstorms across much of Florida, southeastern Georgia and a portion of the Bahamas. This system has not become any better organized since yesterday and conditions are becoming even less favorable for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation. This system, however, will continue to produce locally heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Florida and the southeastern United States during the next few days while the low moves generally northward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (10%)

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