Monday’s First Warning Forecast: Heavy rain possible again

Posted at 4:57 AM, May 21, 2018
and last updated 2018-05-21 09:27:35-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

A Flood Warning is in effect for the Nottoway River near Stony Creek in Sussex County until Tuesday morning. At 5:30 AM Monday the stage was 16.6 feet. Minor flooding is occurring. Flood stage is 15.0 feet. The river will continue rising to near 16.9 feet this morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.

More rain to start the work week… A string of fronts continues to linger to our north, keeping a mix of clouds and rain in the forecast. Scattered showers and storms will “pop up” early this afternoon and gradually drift south. Severe weather is not expected but heavy downpours are likely. Highs today will reach the upper 70s, near normal for this time of year.

Scattered showers will continue tonight with mostly cloudy skies. Lows will drop into the mid 60s.

Expect a mix of clouds tomorrow with another chance for scattered showers and storms. Highs will warm into the mid 80s tomorrow. We will see another round of showers/storms on Wednesday as a cold front moves through. Rain chances will drop and more sunshine will mix in for the second half of the week.

Today: Mix of Clouds, Scattered Showers/Storms (40%). Highs in the upper 70s. Winds: W/N/E 5-10

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers (30%). Lows in the mid 60s. Winds: E/S 5-10

Tomorrow: Mix of Clouds, Scattered Showers/Storms (40%). Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: S/SW 5-10

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low (Grasses, Oak, Birch)

UV Index: 9 (Very High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Moderate

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

May 21st

2001 F0 Tornado: Suffolk

Tropical Update

Widespread cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and the Florida peninsula are associated with the interaction of a large upper-level low with a weak surface trough. While environmental conditions are expected to be unfavorable for development during the next couple of days, some gradual development is possible later this week while the system moves into the central or eastern Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (0%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (20%)

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