Thursday’s First Warning Forecast: Heat, humidity, and storms to end the work week

Posted at 5:08 AM, Jul 05, 2018
and last updated 2018-07-05 11:02:25-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

More heat and storms to end the work week… Today’s forecast will look very similar to yesterday. We will see a mix of sun and clouds with scattered showers. A few storms are possible but severe weather is not expected. Highs will return to the upper 80s with afternoon heat index values in the mid to upper 90s.

Temperatures will return to the mid 70s tonight. We will see partly cloudy skies with a few isolated showers possible.

Highs will warm to near 90 on Friday with afternoon heat index values near 100. Our chance for showers and storms will increase Friday afternoon to evening as a cold front moves in. The biggest chance for rain will be Friday night.

Showers will linger for Saturday morning with chances tapering off and skies slowly clearing through the afternoon. Cooler and less humid air will move in behind the cold front. Highs will drop into the low 80s for Saturday and Sunday. We will see sunny skies on Sunday with even lower humidity. Winds will also pick up this weekend, NE at 10 to 20 mph with higher gusts.

Today: Partly Cloudy, Scattered Showers (30%). Highs in the upper 80s. Winds: SE 5-15

Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Isolated Showers (20%). Lows in the mid 70s. Winds: S 5-10

Tomorrow: Partly Cloudy, PM Showers/Storms (70%). Highs near 90. Winds: SE 5-10

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low-Moderate (Grasses)

UV Index: 10 (Very High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

July 5th

1974 F0 Tornado: Northampton Co

2001 F0 Tornado: Wicomico Co

Tropical Update

Tropical Depression Two forms over the central tropical Atlantic. TD 2 is located about 1385 miles ESE of the Lesser Antilles and moving west at 16 mph. A fast west to WNW motion is expected through the weekend.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible, and the depression could become a tropical storm later today or on Friday. The system is forecast to degenerate into an open trough east of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend.

11:00 AM AST Thu Jul 5

Location: 10.2°N 41.4°W

Moving: W at 16 mph

Min pressure: 1009 mb

Max sustained: 35 mph

Showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles to the southwest of Bermuda are associated with a weak trough of low pressure. This system appears to be less organized, and the potential for a tropical depression to form is diminishing. However, environmental conditions are still conducive for some development before the end of the week, while the system moves WNW and then north between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The disturbance is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which should limit any additional development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (30%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (40%)

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