Wednesday’s First Warning Forecast: Strong to severe storms possible later today

Posted at 5:08 AM, Jul 11, 2018
and last updated 2018-07-11 11:26:40-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Tracking storms and another cool down… A cold front will move in later today bringing in rain chances and another cool down. We will be on the warm side of the front today with highs near 90. Clouds will build through the day with scattered showers/storms firing up later this afternoon. Strong to severe storms are possible. Our biggest threat will be heavy downpours and gusty winds.

Expect mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and strong to severe storms tonight as the cold front pushes to the south. Lows will only drop into the low 70s overnight.

We will start Thursday with clouds and showers. Clouds will start to clear and rain chances will drop through the day. Cooler air will move in behind the front. Expect highs in the low 80s tomorrow.

We will see partly cloudy skies for the end of the work week and the weekend with low rain chances. Highs will remain in the low 80s on Friday. We will warm back into the mid and upper 80s this weekend.

Today: Partly Cloudy, PM Showers/Storms (40%). Highs near 90. Winds: W/N/E 5-15

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms (60%). Lows in the low 70s. Winds: E 5-15

Tomorrow: AM Showers (30%), Partly Cloudy. Highs in the low 80s. Winds: E 5-15G20

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Moderate (Grasses)

UV Index: 9 (Very High)

Air Quality: Moderate (Code Yellow)

Mosquitoes: Very High

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

July 11th

1990 F0 Tornado: Mecklenburg Co, Severe Weather Outbreak Southeast Virginia, East Coastal VA

Tropical Update

Hurricane Chris continues moving northeast over the open Atlantic. Chris is centered about 440 miles ENE of Cape Hatteras and moving NE at 22 mph. The hurricane is forecast to remain on this general heading with an increase in forward speed for the next several days. On the forecast track the center of Chris will pass near southeastern Newfoundland on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected during the day today, with some weakening forecast on Thursday. Chris will likely become a strong post-tropical cyclone on Thursday.

11:00 AM AST Wed Jul 11

Location: 36.4°N 67.8°W

Moving: NE at 22 mph

Min pressure: 974 mb

Max sustained: 100 mph

A large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms associated with the remnants of Beryl is located over much of the Bahamas and extends northwestward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles. Little or no development is expected today, but conditions could become a little more favorable later in the week while the disturbance moves slowly northward over the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (20%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (50%)

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