First Warning Forecast: A big warm up and a few showers

Posted at 5:08 AM, May 14, 2020
and last updated 2020-05-14 05:08:08-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Heating up… Temperatures will climb to the mid 70s today, almost 10 degrees warmer than yesterday and closer to normal for this time of year. A warm front will brush by to our west, bringing in extra clouds and a few isolated showers. Sunshine will return for Friday with temperatures reaching the mid 80s.

We are watching a small chance for showers this weekend as a string of fronts stretches out across the Mid-Atlantic. Expect partly cloudy skies on Saturday with an afternoon shower/storm possible (30%). More clouds will build in for Sunday with an isolated shower possible (20%). Highs will return to the mid 80s on Saturday, then slip to the low 80s on Sunday.

We are keeping a close eye on early next week and the potential for tropical development. An area of low pressure will form near the northern Bahamas this weekend and move northeast, just off of the southern East Coast. This low could develop into a tropical or sub-tropical storm (Arthur). Regardless of tropical formation, this low will bring us some rough surf and a higher risk for rip currents. The biggest question mark with this system is how it interacts with a cold front approaching from the west Monday to Tuesday.

Today: Mix of Clouds, Isolated Shower. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: S/SW 5-15

Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Breezy. Lows in the low 60s. Winds: SW 10-15

Tomorrow: Mostly Sunny, Breezy. Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: SW 10-15G25

Weather & Health

Pollen: Medium-High (Grasses, Oak, Mulberry)

UV Index: 4 (Moderate)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Low-Moderate

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

May 14th

2006 Severe Thunderstorm: Bertie Co - Hail 1.00"-1.25"

Tropical Update

A broad area of low pressure is expected to develop in a couple of days just north of the Bahamas. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a subtropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend. The system is expected to move generally northeast over the western Atlantic through early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: High (70%)

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