First Warning Forecast: More rain, storms, and flooding concerns

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Posted at 5:07 AM, Aug 13, 2020
and last updated 2020-08-13 21:49:37-04

KJ's First Warning Forecast

Rain chances will continue into Friday and throughout the weekend.

Flooding is the main concern due to heavy rain over a short time period. An area of low pressure hovering near the coast is to blame for the unsettled weather... It's a disturbance with a slight chance of becoming tropical as it moves out and over the Atlantic.

As much as three inches of rainfall is possible especially with any strong storm Friday. Even though severe weather isn't likely, be mindful of the flooding potential. Expect a mix of sun and clouds outside of any shower or storm with highs in the mid/upper 80s. The feels like temperature will still reach the low/mid 90s.

Plan accordingly this weekend for the chance of scattered showers and storms. Use our News 3 First Warning Weather App for alerts and notifications as you enjoy the weekend outdoors.

Tropical Update

Tropical Storm Josephine: Tropical Storm Josephine continues to maintain its strength with 45 mph max sustained winds in the Atlantic. The general motion is expected to continue for the next few days towards to the west-northwest then turn more NW late this weekend or early next week.

Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend nearly 80 miles outward to the north of its center. The forecast is for it to weaken before it comes anywhere close to the east coast even as the bulk of the forecast models show decent agreement of it turning out to sea. Stay tuned for updates throughout the weekend despite its distance from us.

Disturbance 1: As of 8PM: Monitoring an area of disturbed weather bringing us showers currently that has a low chance of becoming subtropical or tropical cyclone AFTER it moves over the north Atlantic. A low pressure area over eastern North Carolina is expected to move east-northeastward across the north Atlantic well to the south of New England and the Canadian Maritime provinces for the next several days.

This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics during the next two to three days while it moves over warm sea surface temperatures.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...40 percent