First Warning Forecast
After a chilly start to the weekend, expect pleasantly cool afternoon. Mostly sunny skies will help us all manage the chill in the air both Saturday and Sunday despite cooler than normal temperatures for this time of year. Highs in the mid/upper 60s!
Rain chances are increasing for Sunday. Widely scattered showers for most areas, but the best rain is possible along the coast Sunday with lingering rain into early Monday morning. A brief downpour or two is possible along the NC coast during this time as the system passes the region while over the water.
Warming back into the mid 70s next week.
TROPICAL UPDATE:
Tropical Storm Gamma continues to strengthen as it impacts the Yucatan Peninsula. Gamma is centered about 40 miles SSE of Tulum, Mexico and moving NW at 9 mph. On the forecast track, the center of the tropical cyclone should be near the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph with higher gusts. The tropical storm is on track to turn away from the United States once it crosses over into the Gulf of Mexico.
Disturbance 1: Another tropical wave moving across the eastern Caribbean Sea. It's producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, accompanied by locally rainfall and gusty winds. A depression could form from this wave as it moves farther west into the Caribbean, where favorable conditions will help the system become better organized.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (40%)
Disturbance 2: A tropical wave is positioned midway between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. The area of development chance of formation is low. It's worst watching closely as it moves west where conditions could become more favorable for further growth.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (10%)
Disturbance 3: An area of showers and storms is situated about 1000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. The area of interest has a low chance of further development. The odds of development may increase slightly over the next couple days before it encounters upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (10%)
