First Warning Forecast: Areas of fog, then mostly dry

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Posted at 3:18 PM, Aug 17, 2020
and last updated 2020-08-17 23:52:23-04

Meteorologist April Loveland's First Warning Forecast

**A flood warning remains in effect until 6 AM for Surry County.

**A Flood Warning continues for the Blackwater River Above Franklin affecting Southampton, City of Franklin, Isle of Wight and City of Suffolk.

Areas of fog possible overnight with lows near 70.

Mostly dry heading into Tuesday with highs in the upper 80s under partly cloudy skies.

By midweek, afternoon showers and storms will return to the region. Highs warm to the upper 80s.

Shower and storm chances will go down a bit for the weekend, but temperatures will be on the rise. Expect highs in the low 90s.

Tropical Update:

A tropical wave near the Windward Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is moving westward at about 20 mph, and is expected to continue to move quickly westward over the eastern and central Caribbean Sea during the next couple of days, which is likely to limit significant development. After that time, however, the system is forecast to move more slowly westward across the western Caribbean, where upper-level winds could become more conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the latter part of this week.

* Formation chance through 2 days: LOW (20%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: MEDIUM (60%)

Satellite images indicate that a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized since yesterday, with increasing banding features near the center. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within a couple days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 2 days: MEDIUM (60%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: HIGH (90%)

Meteorologist April Loveland

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