First Warning Forecast: Big changes into the weekend

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Posted at 5:09 AM, Oct 01, 2020
and last updated 2020-10-01 23:26:04-04

First Warning Forecast

Big changes are coming soon... Increasing clouds overnight with an isolated shower into daybreak.

The front will slide through the area early Friday with little fanfare. Expect only isolated rain chances early Friday then clearing will continue for late morning into the afternoon.

Much cooler air will settle in Friday afternoon and last throughout the weekend... Mid/upper 60s for afternoon highs for Friday, Saturday and Sunday. This weekend, chilly mornings and warm afternoons... 40s overnight into Saturday morning for some inland areas.

Better rain chances late Sunday into Monday.

Tropical Update

A well-defined area over the northwest Caribbean Sea is expected to develop within the next several days. Conditions are forecast to be conducive for development and a tropical depression could form over the weekend as the system meanders between Belize, the Yucatan Peninsula, and Cuba. Further development is expected to be less favorable if the system moves over the Yucatan Peninsula. Still, the region is preparing the locally heavy rain and flash flooding.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (40%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: High (80%)

Another tropical wave located east of the Lesser Antilles is forecast to move west during the next several days where environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development over the central or western Caribbean Sea by early next week. It's expected to move west at 15 to 20 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (0%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (30%)