We continue to track an area of low pressure about 850 miles east of the southern Windward Islands.
Satellite data indicate that shower activity has increased a little and winds near tropical storm force are occurring over a small area just north of the center.
Track its progress with our interactive hurricane tracker
While environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development, any additional increase in organization could lead to the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm during the next day or so as it moves WNW at 15 mph. There is a high (60%) chance of tropical formation in the next 2 days and a high (60%) chance in the next 5 days.
Should a tropical system form it would be the season’s third tropical depression. Should it reach tropical storm strength it would be named Bertha.