Political Prediction Market: Clinton’s odds up after Democratic Debate

Posted at 6:40 AM, Oct 14, 2015
and last updated 2015-10-14 06:56:21-04

The odds of Hillary Clinton winning the Democratic nomination rose after her debate performance, according to the Political Prediction Market.

The Democratic front-runner’s odds were the only ones to rise after the debate, from 65% to 70%.

The Political Predict Market is a game run by the company Pivit and hosted by CNN that uses polls and other factors along with input from players who weigh in on the odds that a candidate or party will win or lose an election.

Bernie Sanders, who runs second to Clinton in public opinion polls, saw his odds of winning the nomination drop after the debate, from 16% to 15%.

The odds of Vice President Joe Biden winning the Democratic nomination fell 4 percentage points, from 15% to 11% after the debate.

Biden hasn’t said if he’ll mount a run for the White House, but according to the Political Prediction Market, the odds that he will enter the race fell quite a bit, from 78% before the debate to 64% after the debate.

Martin O’Malley, Jim Webb and Lincoln Chafee remain with unchanged odds after the debate, with the three of them each at a 1% chance for the nomination.