Saturday’s First Warning Forecast: Hermine brings rain, wind, and flooding

Posted at 4:31 AM, Sep 03, 2016

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Rain, wind, and flooding from Hermine… Post-tropical Cyclone Hermine will move off of the VA coast this afternoon, then linger off of the Mid-Atlantic coast Sunday and early next week. A Tropical Storm Warning is still in effect for all of Hampton Roads and Northeastern North Carolina.

Saturday: Widespread rain that will be heavy at times through the morning. Rain will become more scattered in the afternoon. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for much of Hampton Roads and NE NC. Rainfall totals are still expected to reach 2” to 5” for SE VA and 4” to 7” for NE NC. Locally higher numbers are possible. Expect overall winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 50+. Major tidal flooding is expected near high tide at 11 AM. Moderate tidal flooding is expected near the 11 PM high tide.

Sunday: Hermine lingers off of the VA coast and gets stronger. Expect mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers mixed in throughout the day. It will still be very windy with NW winds at 20 to 30 mph and gusts to near 40. Expect the strongest winds on the Eastern Shore, gusts to 50+ possible. Minor tidal flooding is expected Sunday near our midday high tide.

Monday: Hermine continues to linger off of the coast to our northeast. Expect a mix of sun and clouds with isolated showers possible. It will remain windy with NW winds at 10 to 20 and gusts to near 30 mph. Winds will remain stronger on the Eastern Shore. Minor tidal flooding is expected near our high tides at midnight and 12:30 PM.

Today: Cloudy, Widespread AM Rain, PM Scattered Showers. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: NE/N 30-40G50+

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers (40%). Lows in the upper 60s. Winds: N 25-35G45

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers (40%). Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: NW 20-30G40

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: 1 (Low)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Tropical Update

Hermine is now a post-tropical cyclone but gaining strength as it moves into the Atlantic. Hermine is centered about 80 miles SE of Norfolk and is moving ENE at 15 mph. A turn toward the northeast and a decrease in forward speed are expected by tonight, followed by a slow northward motion through early Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine will move away from the North Carolina coast and meander offshore of the Delmarva Peninsula Sunday night and early Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and Hermine is expected to be near hurricane intensity on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles from the center.

Hurricane Tracker


Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

September 3rd

1821 Hurricane: One of most violent on record – eye over Norfolk

2003 Flash Flooding: Southeast Virginia

2010 Hurricane Earl Brushes Outer Banks

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