First Warning Forecast: Showers and storms could bring heavy downpours, localized flooding

Posted at 1:03 PM, Sep 19, 2016

Tracking more soggy weather....The First Warning Storm Team is tracking a good chance of rain and storms over the next few days.

A slow-moving cold front will work its way east through midweek. As the front runs into the remnant moisture of Julia, we will see scattered showers and storms in the area this evening. Some of the rain could be heavy, capable of producing localized flooding. Otherwise, expect mostly cloudy skies. It will be warm and muggy with low temperatures in the lower 70s.

On Tuesday, we'll continue to see scattered showers and storms as the front and Julia's remnants linger across the area. Otherwise, we'll see mostly cloudy skies. High temperatures will be in the upper 70s as our winds shift from the east-northeast. Our forecast models continue to keep rain in the forecast by Wednesday and Thursday.  Highs will be in the mid 70s Wednesday. Temps will climb to near 80 on Thursday.

Rain chances will start to drop by the end of the work week. Highs will warm back into the mid 80s, right into the weekend.

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy. Scattered Showers/Storms (60%). Lows in the low 70s. Winds: E 5-10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly Cloudy. Scattered Showers/Storms (80%). Highs in the upper 70s. Winds: NE 10-15 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy. Scattered Showers/Storms (80%). Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: NE 10-15 mph.

Weather & Health for Tuesday

Pollen: Low (Ragweed)

UV Index: Low to Moderate

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Tropical Update

Julia is now a remnant low off the coast of North and South Carolina. A slow movement north is expected over the next few days. The system is expected to be near the coast of southeastern North Carolina this afternoon or evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.

Tropical Storm Karl is centered about 895 miles east of the Leeward Islands and moving west at 13 mph. A turn toward the WNW at a similar forward speed is expected Tuesday. The long range track moves Karl between the East Coast and Bermuda. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles to the north of the center.

We are watching a broad area of low pressure located southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for some development over the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week before large-scale conditions become less favorable.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (90%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: High (90%)

Hurricane Tracker


Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

1945 Flooding: River Crest Farmville 20.9'

Dominic Brown

First Warning Meteorologist

WTKR-TV News 3

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