Thursday’s First Warning Forecast: Tracking a cold front to end the week

Posted at 5:13 AM, Oct 13, 2016

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

***Flood Warnings have been extended for most of the Southside and most of NE NC through this evening***

***River Flood Warnings remain for the Blackwater and Nottoway Rivers. Water is at minor flooding levels now and slowly falling***

Another flooding threat ahead… After a foggy morning, expect sunshine for most of today with a few clouds mixing in this afternoon. Highs will warm into the mid 70s this afternoon. We are tracking a cold front that will build through the area tonight. Rain chances will remain slim but the front will bring in cooler air and stronger winds.

As the front moves through tonight, winds will crank up. Expect northerly windy increasing to near 20 mph with gusts to near 25 mph for Friday. The stronger winds will trigger “minor” tidal flooding for Friday and Saturday. Highs will drop into the mid 60s on Friday, behind the cold front.

Temperatures will gradually warm this weekend, with highs in the upper 60s on Saturday and low 70s on Sunday. We will see a few more clouds mix in but rain chances will remain slim.

Today: A Few Clouds, Warmer. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: NW 5-10

Tonight: Partly Cloudy, Windy. Lows in the upper 50s. Winds: NW/N 5-15

Tomorrow: A Few Clouds, Windy, Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. Winds: N 10-20G25

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Low-Moderate (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: 5 (Moderate)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: High

Tropical Update

The eye of Hurricane Nicole is passing over Bermuda. Nicole is centered about 10 miles east of Bermuda and moving NE at 16 mph. The NE motion at a faster forward speed is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Nicole will move away from Bermuda this afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph with higher gusts. Nicole is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days.

Nicole is a large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles. An automated surface station on Pearl Island in Bermuda measured sustained winds of 87 mph with a gust to 119 mph.

11:00 AM AST Thu Oct 13

Location: 32.3°N 64.6°W

Moving: NE at 16 mph

Min pressure: 961 mb

Max sustained: 120 mph

Hurricane Tracker


Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

October 13th

1983 Tornadoes: Central Virginia

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