First Warning Forecast: We’re warming up, then cooling down

Posted at 3:20 PM, Oct 18, 2016
and last updated 2016-10-18 22:41:00-04

We’re warming up, then cooling down….If you’ve enjoyed the summer-like weather we’ve had today, you’re going to love what’s in store for Wednesday and Thursday. In fact, we’re tracking more 80s in our forecast until a cold front arrives.

But first tonight, expect partly cloudy skies. Areas of patchy fog may develop late. But we’re expecting mainly dry weather with overnight low temperatures in the mid 60s.

High pressure will remain in control of our weather over the next few days, giving way to more sunshine and warm temperatures. On Wednesday, we’ll see mostly sunny skies. A few more clouds may try to sneak in from the north late in the day. However, most of us will be dry. Highs will climb into the mid 80s.  More sunshine is expected on Thursday as high temperatures approach the lower 80s.

Our weather will change by the end of the work week as a cold front approaches from the west. The front will slide in on Friday, giving way to a few scattered showers, but our computer models have been backing off on a lot of the rain potential for Friday. So we’ll keep an eye on it. Once the front sweeps through, you’ll notice a big difference with our temperatures! Highs will be in the lower 80s on Thursday. Then, our highs will drop into the low and mid 70s on Friday. By the weekend, highs will settle into the mid 60s!

We’re also keeping a close eye on a developing area of low pressure near the Bahamas. Most of our forecast models track this system northward over the next several days. Right now, it is still too early to tell exactly where this system will be headed. However, most of our computer models keep it offshore. Regardless of it’s track, we will likely see high surf and a high threat of rip currents at all areas beaches in Hampton Roads and Northeastern North Carolina.

Tonight: Mostly Clear and Mild. Areas of Patchy For late. Lows in the mid 60s. Winds: SW 5-10 mph.

Wednesday: Patchy AM Fog. Mostly Sunny and Warm. Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: SW 5-10 mph.

Thursday: Sun and Clouds. Warm. Highs in the lower 80s. Winds: S 5-10 mph.

Weather & Health for Wednesday 

Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: Moderate

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: High

Tropical Update

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little better organized since yesterday in association with a well-defined, non-tropical low pressure system located a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Turks and Caicos.  The low is expected to acquire some tropical characteristics as upper-level winds become more conducive, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone will likely form during the next few days.  The low is forecast to move northward on Wednesday and turn northwestward on Thursday, before heading northeastward out to sea by the end of the week.  A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system tomorrow afternoon, if necessary.

Formation chance through 48 hours:  Medium…50%

Formation chance through 5 days: High…80%

Hurricane Tracker


Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

1954 Hurricane Hazel – Wind Damage, Flooding – coastal and interior Virginia

1990 F3 Tornado: King William Co

Dominic Brown
First Warning Meteorologist
WTKR-TV News 3
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