First Warning Forecast: Big changes are on the way

Posted at 5:38 AM, Oct 21, 2016

Big changes are on the way….If you’ve been waiting for more fall-like weather to arrive, then get ready! We’re tracking a big drop in our temperatures.

As we move through our Friday, areas of patchy fog will give way to a mix of sun and clouds. High temperatures will climb into the upper 70s and lower 80s. A cold front will arrive by afternoon into the evening, giving way to a few scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm. A few showers will likely linger overnight into early Saturday morning. Then, as we go through the day, our skies will gradually clear, giving way to sunshine and cooler temperatures. In fact, highs will be in the low and mid 60s.

Now, as the front moves through, our winds will pick up considerably. By Friday evening, our winds will pick up from the northwest between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts to 30 mph. Those gusty winds will continue into Saturday from the northwest between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts to 25 mph.

Our winds will start to settle down a bit by Sunday. Still, it be a bit cool. Highs will be in the mid 60s. We’ll see mostly sunny skies.  By Monday, highs will climb into the 70s.

We’re also keeping a close eye on a tropical wave near the Bahamas. The system still has low chance of developing into a named storm as it moves northward and merges with a cold front. Regardless, the system will likely produce a high risk of rip currents and high surf for all area beaches in Hampton Roads and Northeastern North Carolina for the weekend.

This Afternoon: Sun and Clouds. Chance of Showers (30%). Becoming windy late. High temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Winds: SW-NW 5-15 mph.

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy. Chance of Showers (40%). Windy. Low temperatures in the mid 60s. Winds: NW 15-25 mph, gusts to 30 mph.

Tomorrow: AM Shower Possible (20%). Then, becoming sunny. High temperatures in the low and mid 60s. Winds: NW 15-20 mph, gusts to 25-30 mph

Weather & Health

Pollen: Low (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: Moderate

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: High

Tropical Update

An area of low pressure centered about 450 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, is moving northward. The thunderstorm activity is very limited and the chances for this system to become a subtropical or tropical cyclone are diminishing. This low is expected to merge with a large frontal system tonight or early Saturday.

Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent

Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent

Hurricane Tracker

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

1995 Severe Thunderstorm: Wind Damage Wicomico Co.

Dominic Brown
First Warning Meteorologist
WTKR-TV News 3
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