Monday’s First Warning Forecast: A cool and sunny start

Posted at 5:43 AM, Jul 31, 2017

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

A sunny and refreshing start to the week… Temperatures will start in the 50s and 60s this morning with plenty of sunshine. Highs will only warm into the low 80s this afternoon, about 5 degrees below normal. Expect mostly sunny skies today with lighter winds. Lows will return to the 60s tonight under clear skies.

Temperatures will climb as we go through the week. Highs will warm into the mid 80s Tuesday with mostly sunny skies. We will warm into the mid and upper 80s for the second half of the week, near normal for this time of year. We are keeping a close eye on Tropical Storm Emily as it expected to travel NE just off of the Carolina coast by midweek. The exact track of Emily will determine how much of an impact we see. As of now… rough surf, minor storm surge, and rip currents will be our biggest concerns. Rain chances will go up for the weekend as a cold front moves in.

Today: Mostly Sunny, Refreshing. Highs in the low 80s. Winds: NE 5-15

Tonight: Clear Skies. Lows in the mid 60s. Winds: E/S/W 5-10

Tomorrow: A Few Clouds, Warming. Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: NW/E 5-10

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Moderate (Grasses)

UV Index: 9 (Very High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Very High

Tropical Update

Tropical Storm Emily made landfall around 10:45 AM on Anna Maria Island, just west of Bradenton, FL. TS Emily is centered about 35 miles SW of Tampa, Florida and moving east at 9 mph. On the forecast track, the center of Emily is expected to move inland over west-central Florida this afternoon, and move across central Florida tonight. Emily is forecast to move offshore of the east-central Florida coast Tuesday morning, turning NE and moving off of the East Coast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast until landfall occurs this afternoon. Emily is expected to weaken to a tropical depression while it moves across the Florida peninsula later today and tonight. It will strengthen to a tropical storm once in the Atlantic.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center.

11:00 AM EDT Mon Jul 31

Location: 27.6°N 82.8°W

Moving: E at 9 mph

Min pressure: 1005 mb

Max sustained: 45 mph

Hurricane Tracker

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

July 31st

1992 Severe Thunderstorm Winds: Central, East Central VA

1996 Severe Thunderstorm Damage: Southeast, East Central VA

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