Thursday’s First Warning Forecast: Feeling like 100 today

Thursday’s First Warning Forecast: Feeling like 100 today
Posted at 5:05 AM, Sep 12, 2019
and last updated 2019-09-12 08:02:53-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Summer today, Fall tomorrow… Today will be the warmest day of the week with highs climbing into the low 90s. With the humidity, it will feel more like the upper 90s to near 100 this afternoon. Expect a nice mix of mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies today with an isolated shower/storm possible. More showers and storms will build in tonight as a cold front pushes in. Some storms could be strong to severe.

The cold front will bring in a 15 degree cool down to end the work week. Highs will only reach the mid 70s on Friday. We will see mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Winds will shift to the NE tomorrow and ramp up, 10 to 20 with gusts to 25 mph.

We will see a mix of clouds this weekend with isolated showers/storms possible. Highs will warm to the low 80s on Saturday and mid 80s on Sunday. It will still be humid, so it will feel a bit warmer.

Today: Mostly Sunny to Partly Cloudy, Isolated Shower/Storm. Highs in the low 90s. Winds: SW 5-10

Tonight: Clouds Building, Scattered Showers/Storms. Lows in the low 70s. Winds: S/N 5-10

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers, Windy. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds: NE 10-20

Weather & Health 

Pollen: Medium (Ragweed)

UV Index: 8 (Very High)

Air Quality: Moderate (Code Yellow)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

September 12th

1878 Hurricane: Tornado outbreak – Dinwiddie, Nottoway, Goochland Co

1960 Hurricane Donna: Heavy rainfall, Flash flooding – East Central, Central Virginia

Tropical Update

Satellite images indicate that the area of disturbed weather over the central and southeastern Bahamas is gradually becoming better organized while surface pressures are falling in the area. Conditions are becoming favorable for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form within the next day or so as the system moves toward the northwest through the northwestern Bahamas and toward the Florida Peninsula at 5 to 10 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: High (70%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: High (80%)

A tropical wave located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves west over the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (near 0%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (40%)

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