First Warning Forecast: More rain this weekend with a flooding and severe t-storm threat

WX Rain on Window.png
Posted at 5:09 AM, Aug 14, 2020
and last updated 2020-08-14 08:55:17-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

Our soggy stretch continues for the weekend… We will see partly to mostly cloudy skies today with another chance for showers and storms. Severe storms are not likely, but strong storms with heavy downpours are possible and could trigger localized flooding. High temperatures will reach the mid to upper 80s today. It will still be muggy so the afternoon heat index will reach the low to mid 90s.

High temperatures will linger in the mid to upper 80s this weekend, near normal for this time of year. Afternoon heat index values will return to the mid 90s. We will see a mix of sun and clouds with scattered showers and storms possible both days. Strong to severe storms are possible on Saturday.

Today: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Showers/Storms. Highs in the upper 80s. Winds: NE 5-15

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Showers/Storms. Lows in the mid 70s. Winds: NE 5-10

Tomorrow: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Showers/Storms. Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: NE/E 5-10

Weather & Health

Pollen: Low-Medium (Ragweed, Grasses)

UV Index: 8 (Very High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Today in Weather History (NWS Wakefield)

August 14th

1953 Hurricane Barbara: Strong Winds Gusts Southeast Virginia, Eastern Shore

1975 F0 Tornado: Gloucester Co

2004 F1 Tornado: Brunswick Co, F0 Tornado: Chesapeake

Tropical Update

Tropical Storm Josephine continues moving over the tropical Atlantic. Josephine is centered about 680 miles ESE of the northern Leeward Islands and moving WNW at 17 mph. This general motion is expected to continue for the next couple of days followed by a turn toward the NW late this weekend or early next week. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine is expected to pass to the northeast of the Leeward Islands over the weekend.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next day or so. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles from the center.

Shower activity has increased in association with a low pressure area located about 100 miles northeast of Cape Hatteras, NC. Some additional development is possible during the next couple of days, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during that time as the system moves ENE well to the southeast of New England.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Medium (40%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (50%)

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