First Warning Forecast: Soggy stretch starts Wednesday

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Posted at 3:55 PM, Aug 18, 2020
and last updated 2020-08-18 23:59:05-04

Meteorologist April Loveland's First Warning Forecast

**Flood Warning continues for the Blackwater River affecting Southampton, City of Franklin, Isle of Wight and the City of Suffolk.

Partly cloudy overnight with some patchy fog. Lows near 70.

After some morning patchy fog, we'll see an increase in showers and storms by the afternoon as a stationary front sets up over the area. Temperatures will warm to the mid 80s. Heavy rain will be possible which could lead to flooding once again. The ground is still very saturated from all the rainfall we've received this morning.

Showers and storms will continue Thursday and Friday. Heavy rain and flooding will once again be a threat.

Scattered showers and storms will continue for the weekend, with heat and humidity building. Expect highs in the upper 80s with afternoon heat index values in the mid to upper 90s.

Tropical Update:

A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds on the north side of the disturbance. Significant development of this system is unlikely during the next day or so while it moves quickly westward at about 20 mph across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea. After that time, however, the wave is forecast to move more slowly west-northwestward, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend when the system reaches the northwestern Caribbean Sea.

*Formation chance through 2 days: MEDIUM (40%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: HIGH (80%)

A broad and elongated area of low pressure located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms on the west side of the disturbance. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or two while the system moves generally west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the tropical Atlantic

* Formation chance through 2 days: HIGH (90%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: HIGH (90%)

Meteorologist April Loveland

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