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First Warning Forecast: Soggy stretch, severe weather threat

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Posted at 9:25 PM, Feb 04, 2020
and last updated 2020-02-04 21:38:27-05

We are tracking a very mild night on tap. Temperatures will be fairly steady in the upper 50s and low 60s overnight. Skies will be overcast, which will help keep our temperatures up.

Rain chances will increase Wednesday morning as a cold front sags through the area. Our high temperatures will be met overnight/early Wednesday morning. Expect temperatures to fall into the 40s through the afternoon as winds switch to the northeast at 10-15 mph as the cold front moves through. Northeastern North Carolina will stay warmer for longer, and could actually see highs near the 70 degree mark. Overall, Wednesday will feature a variety of temperatures throughout our viewing area. Showers will continue Wednesday night with lows in the mid 40s.

The cold front that will bring the rain on Wednesday, will actually lift over the area on Thursday as a warm front. That means another temperatures boost. Temperatures will soar to near 70. Heavy rain will be possible at times especially during the afternoon and evening. We even have the threat of severe weather. Yes, we are actually tracking the threat of severe weather in February. The Storm Prediction Center has all of the Albemarle, OBX, Southside and portions of inland Virginia at a Level 2 for severe weather. That means scattered severe storms are not out of the question. The biggest threat will be damaging wind gusts and flooding. A little lower on the threat scale, but still a threat are tornadoes. The rest of the area including the Peninsulas and Eastern Shore are at a Level 1, which means an isolated severe storm is possible. Many of us could see 1.5-2+ inches of rain. Temperatures will fall into the low and mid 50s overnight.

Showers will continue to move out Friday. Temperatures will be much cooler, but still above normal for this time of year. Expect highs in the upper 50s.

We'll dry out for most of Saturday with highs in the low 50s. It will be a bit chilly for folks heading out to the Polar Plunge at the Virginia Beach Oceanfront, but it could be worse. The water temperature is around 44 degrees. Showers will move in late Saturday through at least the first half of the day. Temperatures will warm to the low 50s.

High pressure will build in to start the work week and temperatures will once again trend above normal. Expect highs near 60 on Monday under partly cloudy skies. Rain chances will increase by midweek.