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First Warning Forecast: Tracking more rain and possible flooding

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Posted at 7:47 PM, Sep 09, 2020
and last updated 2020-09-09 23:37:19-04

Meteorologist April Loveland's First Warning Forecast

Showers will be possible overnight with lows in the mid 70s.

The cloudy skies with scattered showers and storms will continue for Thursday and Friday as the front remains along the coast. It will be warmer and more humid on Thursday with highs in the mid 80s. Flooding will once again be a threat through the evening hours.

We should see a bit more sunshine mix in this weekend, but scattered showers and storms are still possible. Highs will remain in the low to mid 80s.

The unsettled weather will continue into the work week bringing a chance of scattered showers and storms.

Tropical Update:

Paulette is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph. A motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected through Friday. A northwestward motion should begin Friday night and continue into the weekend. Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. However, Paulette could restrengthen early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles from the center.

Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph, and a motion toward the west-northwest is expected for the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rene is expected to be near hurricane strength by Friday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center.

A small low pressure area located about 240 miles southeast of Wilmington, North Carolina, has become less organized since yesterday. The low is forecast to move northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and some development is still possible before it moves inland over eastern North Carolina Thursday afternoon. Interests along the coasts of North and South Carolina should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance.

* Formation chance through 2 days: LOW (20%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: LOW (20%)

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorm is centered a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas. This system is forecast to drift westward and will likely be in the vicinity of the Florida peninsula on Friday. Afterward, upper-level conditions could become conducive for some development this weekend while the system drifts west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

* Formation chance through 2 days: LOW (0%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: LOW (20%)

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Thursday. Gradual development is anticipated once the system moves over water, and a tropical depression is expected to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves generally westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 2 days: MEDIUM (50%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: HIGH (90%)

Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions could be conducive for slow development over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week while the wave moves slowly westward.

* Formation chance through 2 days: LOW (0%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: LOW (20%)

Meteorologist April Loveland

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