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First Warning Forecast: Clouds and rain to end the work week

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Posted at 4:40 AM, Sep 16, 2021
and last updated 2021-09-16 08:16:41-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast

More clouds and rain to end the work week… We will see a mix of clouds today, partly to mostly cloudy, with isolated showers and storms possible. Highs will only reach the mid 80s today, but it will still be muggy.

Expect mostly cloudy skies Friday with a bigger chance for showers and storms. Highs will only reach 80 tomorrow, but it will remain humid. Northeast winds will kick up tomorrow with rough surf as an area of low pressure tracks off the East Coast.

Clouds will clear out through the day on Saturday with lower rain chances. Expect more sunshine on Sunday. Highs will return to the low and mid 80s this weekend, near normal for this time of year. It will still be humid, making it feel more like summer than fall.

Today: Mix of Clouds, Isolated Showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Winds: E 5-15

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy, Isolated Showers. Lows in the low 70s. Winds: NE 5-10

Tomorrow: Mostly Cloudy, Scattered Showers/Storms. Highs near 80. Winds: NE 10-15

Weather & Health

Pollen: Medium (Ragweed)

UV Index: 6 (High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Tropical Update
Nicholas becomes post-tropical near the Louisiana coast. It is expected to drift slowly north over the next couple days. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph with higher gusts. Additional slight weakening is expected today.

Showers and thunderstorms have become slightly less organized in association with a tropical wave located a little more than 800 miles WSW of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is still likely to form late this week or this weekend. This system is expected to move west to WNW across the tropical Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: High (70%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: High (80%)

Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased this morning over the eastern portion of a broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles SSE of the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is still likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves north to NNE off the southeast and mid-Atlantic U.S. coasts. Regardless of development, this system could bring high surf to portions of the southeast and mid-Atlantic U.S. coasts later this week and this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: High (70%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: High (70%)

Showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern tropical Atlantic are associated with a tropical wave that will move off the west coast of Africa today. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for some gradual development over the next few days while the system moves WNW to NW over the far eastern Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (20%)

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