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First Warning Forecast: Nice today, Tracking rain for midweek

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Posted at 5:09 AM, Sep 20, 2021
and last updated 2021-09-20 12:34:21-04

Meteorologist Myles Henderson’s First Warning Forecast
A nice start to the week… Temperatures will start in the 60s and low 70s this morning. Expect mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies today with winds picking up by midday. Highs will return to near 80 today, near normal for this time of year.

More clouds will build in for Tuesday. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies with an isolated shower possible. Highs will warm to the low 80s.

Showers and storms will move in with a midweek cold front. Expect partly to mostly cloudy skies on Wednesday with scattered showers. We will see a mix of clouds Thursday with more showers and thunderstorms possible. Highs will drop from the mid 80s to the upper 70s.

It will feel more like Fall to end the week. Highs will drop to the mid 70s with lower humidity.

Today: Mostly Sunny to Partly Cloudy. Highs near 80. Winds: NE/E 5-15

Tonight: Partly Cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Winds: E 5-15

Tomorrow: Partly to Mostly Cloudy, Isolated Showers. Highs in the low 80s. Winds: E/SE 5-15

Weather & Health

Pollen: Medium (Ragweed)

UV Index: 7 (High)

Air Quality: Good (Code Green)

Mosquitoes: Extreme

Tropical Update

Tropical Storm Peter is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph. This general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Peter will pass north of the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico through Tuesday. Maximum sustained remain near 50 mph with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles from the center.

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Tropical Storm Rose is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph, and this general motion with a slower forward speed is expected over the next few days. Satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of days, and Rose could weaken into a tropical depression by Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center.

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Tracking a tropical wave located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development over the next several days. A tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves west at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (10%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Medium (60%)

A non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located a couple of hundred miles southeast of Newfoundland. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics by the middle of this week as it moves slowly east and then SE over warmer waters across the north-central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: Low (0%)
* Formation chance through 5 days: Low (30%)

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