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First Warning Forecast: Warming trend starts today, 90s to start the week

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Posted at 8:30 AM, Sep 12, 2021
and last updated 2021-09-12 12:26:14-04

Meteorologist April Loveland's First Warning Forecast

High pressure will remain in control today, but winds will pick up out of the southwest which will help to boost our temperatures today.

Expect highs in the upper 80s. Humidity levels will still be pretty comfortable.

Even warmer to kick off the work week. Highs will soar to 91 both Monday and Tuesday under mostly sunny skies. Humidity will also be on the rise. Upper 80s on Wednesday with sunshine continuing to persist.

An area of low pressure will approach from the south by the end of the week. Afternoon showers and storms will be possible by Thursday with highs in the mid 80s. Expect scattered showers and storms to end the work week with highs in the low 80s. We'll continue with a slight chance heading into Saturday. Temperatures will be normal for this time of year with highs in the low 80s.

Tropical Update:

Tropical Storm Nicholas forms in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Nicholas is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue through tonight. A slower northward or north-northeastward motion is forecast by late Monday or Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of Nicholas will pass near or just offshore the the coasts of northeastern Mexico and South Texas late Monday, and approach the south or central Texas coast Monday night or early Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast while Nicholas approaches the northwestern Gulf coast during the next day or so.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles from the center.

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Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive for development, and the chances of tropical depression formation are decreasing while the system moves westward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. By the middle of the week, stronger upper-level winds and marginally warm ocean temperatures are expected to limit additional development.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: LOW (20%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: LOW (20%)

A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far northeastern Atlantic a few hundred miles east-northeast of the Azores. This system is forecast to move south-southeastward towards warmer waters, which could allow the low to gradually acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics during the next couple of days. After that time, the system is forecast to move inland over Portugal ending any further development chance.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: LOW (20%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: LOW (20%)

Another tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a couple of days. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week while it moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: LOW (10%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: MEDIUM (60%)

An area of low pressure is expected to form north of the southeastern or central Bahamas in a few days resulting from a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form later this week several hundred miles southeast of the Carolinas while it moves northwestward across the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours: LOW (0%)

* Formation chance through 5 days.: MEDIUM (50%)

Meteorologist April Loveland

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