First Warning Forecast: Humidity and storm chances continue to rise

Posted at 1:48 PM, Sep 14, 2021
and last updated 2021-09-14 18:01:35-04

Meteorologist April Loveland's First Warning Forecast

Another warm and humid day with highs in the low 90s, but will feel closer to the mid 90s. Still dealing with hazy skies due to wildfire smoke from the west. Should make for another evening of neat sunsets.

Humidity will continue to be on the rise. Expect highs in the upper 80s on Wednesday with a few more clouds. Keeping a slight 20 percent chance for a spotty shower. Conditions will remain mild and muggy overnight with lows in the low 70s.

Watching the potential for an area of low pressure to develop near the Bahamas and move in our direction. It has about a 60 percent chance of developing into a tropical system over the next 5 days. Keeping a chance for some showers and storms by Thursday afternoon. Temperatures will fall to the mid 80s.

A little bit better chance for showers and storms on Friday, but looks like most of the moisture from the area of low pressure will stay offshore. It will still be very humid with highs in the low 80s.

We'll continue with a slight chance for showers on Saturday with drier conditions moving in on Sunday as high pressure builds in. Expect highs in the low and mid 80s.

Tropical Update:

Nicholas is moving toward the east-northeast near 6 mph and this general motion should continue through tonight. An eastward turn is expected over Louisiana by Wednesday. Little motion is anticipated on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Nicholas is forecast to become a tropical depression this evening and degenerate into a remnant low on Wednesday or by early Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles from the center.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while system moves generally westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: HIGH (70%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: HIGH (90%)

A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles northeast of the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form while the system moves north-northwestward to northward across the western Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours: MEDIUM (40%)

* Formation chance through 5 days: MEDIUM (60%)

Meteorologist April Loveland

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